One Chart, Two Perspectives:
Calgary Condo Market April 2026
Sellers see competition and odds. Buyers see leverage. Same data — completely different story.
Every month I publish a Condo Market Watch Report. One chart, five columns, the entire Calgary condo market in a single table. But how you read it depends entirely on which side of the deal you’re sitting on.
Here’s how to use it.
For Sellers: Know Your Competition and Your Odds
Two columns. That’s all you need.
Active = Your Competition Every other condo listed in your price range is competing for the same buyer you are. That buyer is comparing your place to every active listing before making a move. This number tells you how crowded the field is.
% Sold = Your Odds of Selling This Month Out of every active listing in your price range, this is the percentage that actually sold in the last 30 days. Think of it as your batting average before you step up to the plate.
| Price Range | Competition (Active) | Odds of Selling (% Sold) |
|---|---|---|
| $100K–$200K | 127 | 29% |
| $200K–$300K | 688 | 26% |
| $300K–$400K | 606 | 22% |
| $400K–$500K | 204 | 29% |
| $500K–$600K | 83 | 14% |
| $600K–$700K | 30 | 13% |
| $700K–$800K | 14 | 21% |
What it means:
Selling at $250,000? You’re one of 688 competing for the same buyer pool, with a 26% chance of selling this month. The market is active but crowded. Pricing and presentation have to be sharp.
Selling at $550,000? Competition drops to 83 listings — but so do your odds, down to 14%. Fewer sellers, fewer buyers. Plan for a longer runway.
The seller’s sweet spot right now is $400K–$500K — 204 active listings and 29% odds. Strong buyer activity relative to the competition.
For Buyers: Know Your Leverage
One column. Your number is Months of Supply (MOS).
MOS measures how long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace of sales. It’s a leverage gauge — the higher the number, the more power you have at the negotiating table.
- Under 3 months — Seller’s market. Move fast.
- Around 3 months — Balanced. Reasonable room for both sides.
- Over 3 months — Buyer’s market. Time is on your side.
| Price Range | MOS | Your Leverage |
|---|---|---|
| $100K–$200K | 3.4 | Nearly balanced — don’t drag your feet |
| $200K–$300K | 3.9 | Slight buyer advantage |
| $300K–$400K | 4.5 | Good negotiating room |
| $400K–$500K | 3.4 | Nearly balanced |
| $500K–$600K | 6.9 | Strong buyer advantage |
| $600K–$700K | 7.5 | Real leverage — use it |
| $1M–$1.5M | 10.7 | Seller’s are waiting — negotiate hard |
What it means:
Shopping at $650,000? There are 7.5 months of supply on the market. Sellers in that range have watched buyers walk past for a while. That’s negotiating power — on price, conditions, and possession dates.
Shopping under $300,000? The market is closer to balanced. You have some room, but good properties still move. Don’t overthink it.
The Bottom Line
Calgary’s condo market in April 2026 isn’t one market. It’s a dozen micro-markets, each with its own odds, its own competition level, and its own power dynamic.
Sellers — price into your odds and know your competition. The buyers are out there. So are a lot of other sellers.
Buyers — know your leverage before you negotiate. The data is already telling you how motivated the other side should be.
Where do you fit in this market? Call or text Jerry Charlton — Exp Realty — 403 831 0842. I’ll pull the numbers for your specific situation.
Leave a Reply